New data measuring the mood of the country and voter intent for the 2024 election.
Fifty-six percent of registered voters say they plan on voting early in 2024.
- This is lower than the record 70% who voted early in 2020 due to the pandemic, but similar to the 57% who voted early in 2022, and higher than the 37% who voted early in 2016.
WHY IT MATTERS – The results suggest that the 2020 election permanently changed the voting behavior of many Americans.
ADDITIONAL FINDINGS – The survey also revealed more Americans say the country is on the wrong track and disapprove of the job Biden is doing as president.
Click on the image below to read the full report…or read the summary below.
Fifty-six percent of registered voters say they plan to vote early in 2024.
- This includes 17% who plan to vote by mail, 14% who plan to drop off their ballot, and 24% who plan to vote early at a polling location.
- Democrats are the most likely to say they plan to vote early (62.5%), followed by independents (59.3%), and Republicans (48.1%).
- 56% of swing voters say they plan to vote early.
- 59% of those who are undecided on the generic ballot say they plan to vote early.
- 53% of New Majority voters say they plan to vote early.
- 59% of undecided and Democrat leaning New Majority voters plan to vote early.
- Asians (71%) are the most likely demographic to say they plan to vote early.
Seventy-three percent of voters say the country is on the wrong track – a new high.
- This includes 90% of Republicans, 79% of independents, and 51% of Democrats.
- 77% of swing voters say the country is on the wrong track.
- 81% of New Majority voters say the country is on the wrong track.
Biden’s approval rating is down to 42%.
- This includes 11% of Republicans, 36% of independents, and 76% of Democrats.
- Just 52% of single women, a key part of the Democrat coalition, approve of the job Biden is doing as president.
- 37% of swing voters disapprove of the job Biden is doing as president.
- Just 28% of New Majority voters disapprove of the job Biden is doing as president.
Republicans lead on the generic ballot 45-41.
- This is narrower than in previous months but within the margin of error.
- Among likely voters, Republicans lead 47-42.
- Among swing voters, Republicans lead 43-34.
- Republicans lead with men 50-39, while Democrats lead with women 43-41. With single women, Democrats lead 57-25.