According to a national survey conducted by The Trafalgar Group, sponsored by Convention of the States, 60 percent of Independents are afraid to say who they will be voting for in the midterm elections.
WHY IT MATTERS: President of the Convention of States, Mark Meckler, believes this finding suggests a similar phenomenon of the ‘submerged voter’ leading to many polls undercounting Republican support in the past few election cycles is at play this year as well.
HERE ARE THE STATS: According to the survey:
- 66.3 percent of Independent voters believe their friends and neighbors are afraid to express their views about who they will vote for in the 2022 midterm elections
- 51.4. percent of Republican voters believe their friends and neighbors are afraid to express their views about who they will vote for in the 2022 midterm elections
- 38.6 percent of Democratic voters believe their friends and neighbors are afraid to express their views about who they will vote for in the 2022 midterm elections
BOTTTOM LINE – As politics becomes increasingly more divisive, Americans across parties are becoming more reluctant to reveal who will be earning their vote this election cycle. This is making election forecasting increasingly difficult.